Tag: fun

• What’s the Weather Like?

  You look at your forecast. 30% chance of rain, that’s a bummer(unless you’re one of the rare people who like the rain). But what does this number really mean?

  Many assume this number means that 30% of the given town would rain or it will rain for 30% of the day, but what it actually means is far more interesting and uses a clever calculation not many are aware of. When the forecast shows 30% it means that there is a 30% probability(I love that word) that at least 0.01 inches of rain will hit any given surface in the town over a certain time period(usually one,twelve,or twenty four hours). So now that we know what a 30% chance of rain means, how is it calculated?
  
  The National Weather Service says the probability is calculated like this, where P=probability of rain, C=confidence of prediction, and A=percent area of town expected to receive rain:
  P=C*A
  I know its pretty surprising how simple that is, you were probably expecting some crazy formula, or applying Bayes theorem and finding the expected value, but no its just multiplying two values!
  
  So for example, if P=30%(I don’t know why I keep using that number), you could have the following extremes:
  1. You have small storms incoming on only a fraction of the area but the meteorologist is very confident that this event will occur
  2. You may get a large storm flooding your entire town but the meteorologist is not super confident this will occur
  These both will show the same number on your weather app but they are two very different types of storms and occurences.

  So next time you look through the rain probability always think what kind of confidence or area of rainstorm you could be encountering!

  2026.08.10

• 7/17/25-repeatable things

  Everyone has that one thing. The most basic, yet oddly fun stress reliever. Something that is so random, something that everyone else would question. Something that just passes time. For me this happens to be throwing a foam ball off walls. Yes, I know, throwing something off of something seems like the most boring thing in the world but it’s just fun for me. My dad listens to a lot of podcasts and sometimes when I listen to a bit of them, a huge theme in many is that repeatable things result in repeatable outcomes, like if something is working, why change it? For me I do this throwing thing almost any time I have nothing to do, it just fills up the boredom, or “nothingness” and is something so mindless I can think of something completely different while doing this. To illustrate to you how much I do this, let me give you the exact details. It’s summer break for me, and it can’t be everyday that you meet a friend, or have a class, meaning much of the day is doing assignments and courses, You obviously can’t do this all the time(at least if you want to keep your brain from frying), so I have adequate breaks. During these breaks I read or throw my ball around. The total time I throw around is probably around an hour a day if not more. The walls in my room literally have black marks in the shape of circles from how much I throw. It’s just so easy, so oddly satisfying, and I’m sure that you have something like this, or you just haven’t discovered it yet. So next time you are bored think about what is something basic that makes you happy. 🙂

  Question: Do you have one of these “repeatable things” if so what is it? Comment your answer down below!

  ~aaroosh

  2025.07.17